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== The Purpose and Limitations of Science == | == The Purpose and Limitations of Science == | ||
=== 1.1 Introduction and When Is Science Relevant === | === [[1.1 Introduction and When Is Science Relevant]] === | ||
<br /><center><youtube>LGsn9sq0D_s</youtube></center> | |||
=== [[1.2 Shared Reality and Modeling]] === | === [[1.2 Shared Reality and Modeling]] === | ||
<center><youtube>6b-_Wmyfgd4</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>6b-_Wmyfgd4</youtube></center> | ||
== What we can Measure == | == What we can Measure == | ||
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=== [[2.1 Senses and Instrumentation]] === | === [[2.1 Senses and Instrumentation]] === | ||
<center><youtube>uYravgWpl6o</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>uYravgWpl6o</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[2.2 Systematic and Statistical Uncertainty]] === | === [[2.2 Systematic and Statistical Uncertainty]] === | ||
<center><youtube>d1cXjT6f7fE</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>d1cXjT6f7fE</youtube></center> | ||
<center><youtube>WT4xqZjGWUQ</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>WT4xqZjGWUQ</youtube></center> | ||
== Statements of Uncertainty == | == Statements of Uncertainty == | ||
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=== [[3.1 Probabilistic Reasoning]] === | === [[3.1 Probabilistic Reasoning]] === | ||
<center><youtube>QMXl0P_xX7Q</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>QMXl0P_xX7Q</youtube></center> | ||
<center><youtube>ydgLEE0dRrQ</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>ydgLEE0dRrQ</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[3.2 Calibration of Credence Levels]] === | === [[3.2 Calibration of Credence Levels]] === | ||
<center><youtube>cKFOQcTVps4</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>cKFOQcTVps4</youtube></center> | ||
== Dealing with Noise == | == Dealing with Noise == | ||
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=== [[4.1 Signal and Noise]] === | === [[4.1 Signal and Noise]] === | ||
<center><youtube>S2AIAv_sTq8</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>S2AIAv_sTq8</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[4.2 Finding Patterns in Random Noise]] === | === [[4.2 Finding Patterns in Random Noise]] === | ||
<center><youtube>VnTzHNRpJaM</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>VnTzHNRpJaM</youtube></center> | ||
== Trade-offs and Progress == | == Trade-offs and Progress == | ||
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=== [[5.1 False Positives and Negatives]] === | === [[5.1 False Positives and Negatives]] === | ||
<center><youtube>nlMjGMe-Msk</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>nlMjGMe-Msk</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[5.2 Scientific Optimism]] === | === [[5.2 Scientific Optimism]] === | ||
<center><youtube>P5phOVIEmJs</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>P5phOVIEmJs</youtube></center> | ||
== Establishing Causation == | == Establishing Causation == | ||
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=== [[6.1 Correlation and Causation]] === | === [[6.1 Correlation and Causation]] === | ||
<center><youtube>dQiHsFj3zwk</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>dQiHsFj3zwk</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[6.2 Hill's Criteria]] === | === [[6.2 Hill's Criteria]] === | ||
<center><youtube>VYLznjXXXCU</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>VYLznjXXXCU</youtube></center> | ||
== Types and Consequences of Causation == | == Types and Consequences of Causation == | ||
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=== [[7.1 Causation, Blame, and Policy]] === | === [[7.1 Causation, Blame, and Policy]] === | ||
<center><youtube>sWFCyxmZIpM</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>sWFCyxmZIpM</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[7.2 Emergent Phenomena]] === | === [[7.2 Emergent Phenomena]] === | ||
<center><youtube>LMZH1wBaZOI</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>LMZH1wBaZOI</youtube></center> | ||
== Describing and Simplifying Reality == | == Describing and Simplifying Reality == | ||
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=== [[8.1 Orders of Understanding]] === | === [[8.1 Orders of Understanding]] === | ||
<center><youtube>7Mm2J45inA0</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>7Mm2J45inA0</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[8.2 Fermi Problems]] === | === [[8.2 Fermi Problems]] === | ||
<center><youtube>zD-dX1lY4yY</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>zD-dX1lY4yY</youtube></center> | ||
== Heuristics and Biases == | == Heuristics and Biases == | ||
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=== [[9.1 Heuristics]] === | === [[9.1 Heuristics]] === | ||
<center><youtube>KPtvVh903h4</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>KPtvVh903h4</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[9.2 Biases]] === | === [[9.2 Biases]] === | ||
<center><youtube>_iKuqvhyE6A</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>_iKuqvhyE6A</youtube></center> | ||
== Catching and Countering Biases == | == Catching and Countering Biases == | ||
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=== [[10.1 Confirmation Bias]] === | === [[10.1 Confirmation Bias]] === | ||
<center><youtube>pyB3WZFTf08</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>pyB3WZFTf08</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[10.2 Blinding]] === | === [[10.2 Blinding]] === | ||
<center><youtube>tovt651VVZ4</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>tovt651VVZ4</youtube></center> | ||
== Science Gone Wrong == | == Science Gone Wrong == | ||
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=== [[11.1 Pathological Science]] === | === [[11.1 Pathological Science]] === | ||
<center><youtube>oaxHKHpwlxw</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>oaxHKHpwlxw</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[11.2 When Is Science Suspect]] === | === [[11.2 When Is Science Suspect]] === | ||
<center><youtube>9pcntu0WNBE</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>9pcntu0WNBE</youtube></center> | ||
== Group Evaluations == | == Group Evaluations == | ||
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=== [[12.1 Wisdom of Crowds and Herd Thinking]] === | === [[12.1 Wisdom of Crowds and Herd Thinking]] === | ||
<center><youtube>CngkRkOEVn4</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>CngkRkOEVn4</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[12.2 Grill the Guest]] === | === [[12.2 Grill the Guest]] === | ||
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=== [[13.1 Denver Bullet Study]] === | === [[13.1 Denver Bullet Study]] === | ||
<center><youtube>Qs6kZ0dv_Ec</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>Qs6kZ0dv_Ec</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[13.2 Deliberative Polling]] === | === [[13.2 Deliberative Polling]] === | ||
<center><youtube>NcW3LoY3UPs</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>NcW3LoY3UPs</youtube></center> | ||
== The Outlook and Potential of Science == | == The Outlook and Potential of Science == | ||
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=== [[14.1 Scenario Planning]] === | === [[14.1 Scenario Planning]] === | ||
<center><youtube>c8roOW8W9bI</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>c8roOW8W9bI</youtube></center> | ||
=== [[14.2 Wrap Up]] === | === [[14.2 Wrap Up]] === | ||
<center><youtube>lwSTdhRrp34</youtube></center> | <br /><center><youtube>lwSTdhRrp34</youtube></center> | ||
}} | }} | ||
{{NavCard|prev=Inventory|next=Projects}} | {{NavCard|prev=Inventory|next=Projects}} | ||
[[Category:Reference]] | [[Category:Reference]] | ||
Revision as of 13:56, 22 August 2023
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